BACKGROUND: While the Kashmir region,

• Impact of Article 370 Abrogation: Abrogation has reduced support for separatism in Kashmir, pushing terrorists towards Poonch-Rajouri.
• Troop Redeployment Concerns: Shifting troops to other sectors, like Ladakh, might weaken optimal deployment in Poonch-Rajouri. HQ Northern Command needs to balance redeployment with ensuring adequate security in the sector.

Key points

Shift in Terrorist Activity:

• Recent attacks in Poonch-Rajouri suggest terrorists are targeting this sector due to increased security in Kashmir.
• Dilution of local support and strategic changes after Article 370 abrogation contribute to this shift.

Concerns for the Indian Army:

• Recent encounter losses highlight potential gaps in current counter-terrorism strategies.
• Redeployment of formations raises questions about optimizing troop deployment in the sector.

Key Challenges:

• Effectiveness of current strategies needs evaluation in light of recent losses.
• Adapting to the shift in terrorist activity poses a tactical challenge.
• Maintaining public trust requires investigations into civilian casualties under suspicious circumstances.

 Critical Analysis:

• Recent losses in encounters raise concerns about the efficacy of the Army's existing strategies.
• The shift in terrorist activity underscores the necessity for adaptable response strategies.
• Allegations regarding civilian casualties necessitate transparent investigations to uphold public trust.

Way Forward:

• Conduct a comprehensive review of identified weaknesses in convoy security, vehicle hardening, and reinforcement movements.
• Adapt drills, Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs), and minor tactics to address current challenges effectively.
• Ensure transparent investigations into civilian deaths, taking appropriate disciplinary action if errors are identified.
• Implement brigade-sized operations in Pir Panjal with drone support, accompanied by robust public outreach to address local sentiments.
• Maintain a balanced approach in public statements to prevent speculation and unrest, while continuing precautionary measures in the Kashmir Valley.