India-Canada Relations Hit Rock Bottom: A Diplomatic Crisis

Canada has faced diplomatic escalation, including the expulsion of six Canadian diplomats by India and 41 withdrawals of 41 Canadian diplomats due to India's immunity threat. The country has also suspended visa operations and withdrawn 41 Canadian diplomats.

Recent Diplomatic Escalation

Expulsion of six Canadian diplomats by India
Canada's expulsion of Indian diplomats, including high commissioner
Suspension of visa operations in Canada by India
Withdrawal of 41 Canadian diplomats after India's immunity threat
Trudeau's allegations about Indian involvement in Hardeep Singh Nijjar's Assasination
Lack of concrete evidence shared by Canada despite allegations

Historical Context and Underlying Issues

Trudeau's controversial 2018 India visit

- Jaspal Atwal incident at Canadian High Commissioner's dinner
- Atwal's history as convicted Khalistani separatist

Ongoing concerns about Khalistani extremism

- 17 pending extradition requests from India
- Canada's perceived leniency towards extremists
- Tension over Sikh separatist activities on Canadian soil

Political dynamics in Canada

- Trudeau's minority government dependent on NDP support
- Jagmeet Singh's alleged associations with Sikh separatism
- Vote bank politics influencing diplomatic decisions

Timeline of Key Events

December 2020: Trudeau's comments on Indian farmers' protests

June 2023: Hardeep Singh Nijjar's assassination in Surrey

September 2023:

- Trade negotiations halted
- Mutual diplomatic expulsions begin
- India suspends visa services

October 2023: Further diplomatic deterioration

May 2024: Arrests in Nijjar murder case

October 2024: Latest round of diplomatic expulsions

Impact and Current Status

Bilateral relations at historic low
Trade and diplomatic engagement severely affected

Trudeau's domestic political challenges

- 54% disapproval rating
- 38% strong disapproval ahead of 2025 elections

Security implications

- Investigation into Nijjar's murder ongoing
- Three suspects arrested and charged
- Continued tensions over extremist activities

International dimension

- US involvement in providing information
- Global attention on diplomatic crisis
- Impact on Indo-Pacific strategy

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