India's FY25 GDP Growth to 7.0-7.2%: IMF & Deloitte Outlook

India's growth forecast is 7% for FY25 and 6.5% for FY26, with Deloitte India predicting 7.0-7.2% growth. The IMF expects global headline inflation to decrease from 6.7% to 5.8%.

Growth Projections and Economic Indicators

IMF maintains India's growth forecast at 7% for FY25 and 6.5% for FY26
Deloitte India projects 7.0-7.2% GDP growth for FY25
Q1 FY25 showed 6.7% growth, slowest in five quarters
RBI keeps growth projection steady at 7.2% for FY25
IMF expects global headline inflation to decrease from 6.7% (2023) to 5.8% (2024)
India's inflation projected at 4.4% for FY25 and 4.1% for FY26

Employment and Sector Performance

MGNREGA demand falls below pre-pandemic levels, indicating better job opportunities
Construction sector employment share increased from 11.6% to 12.2% (2019-20 to 2023-24)
Manufacturing employment recovered to 11.4% post-pandemic
Services sector employment rose from 28.9% to 29.7% (2022-23 to 2023-24)
Female labor force participation surged from 22% (2017-18) to 40.3% (2023-24)
Rural areas showed 22.8 percentage point increase in female participation

Growth Drivers and Future Outlook

Domestic factors supporting growth:

- Moderating inflation and record Kharif production
- Increased government spending
- Strong manufacturing activity
- Stable oil prices

Emerging opportunities in:

- Semiconductor industry
- Electronics manufacturing
- Clean energy sector
- Green jobs across multiple sectors

Challenges remain:

- High informal employment
- Need for more formal, high-quality jobs
- Global growth concerns affecting exports

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